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  1. 1Probability of even on a die
  2. 2P(sum=7)P(\text{sum} = 7) with two dice
  3. 3Sum of two dice ≥10\ge 10
  4. 4Exactly 2 heads in 3 tosses
  5. 5Binomial probability P(X=5)P(X = 5)
  6. 6Binomial P(X=0)P(X = 0)
  7. 7Binomial P(X≥1)P(X \ge 1)
  8. 8Mean and variance, Binomial
  9. 9Poisson P(X=0)P(X = 0)
  10. 10Poisson probability P(X=2)P(X = 2)
  11. 11Poisson P(X≤1)P(X \le 1)
  12. 12Expected value, geometric distribution
  13. 13Choosing 3 from 10
  14. 15Choosing 2 women, 1 man
  15. 17At least one six in 4 rolls
  16. 19Conditional probability P(A∣B)P(A \mid B)
  17. 20Union of independent events
  18. 24Expected value of a die
  19. 25Variance of a die roll
  20. 26Expected value of XX
  21. 27Variance of a discrete XX
  22. 28Linear transform of E[X]E[X] and Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X)
  23. 29Variance of independent sum
  24. 30Uniform probability P(X>7)P(X > 7)
  25. 31Uniform mean and variance
  26. 32Exponential tail probability
  27. 33Exponential wait probability
  28. 36Probability from a density
  29. 37Normal probability, zz-score
  30. 38Normal probability, 40<X<6040 < X < 60
  31. 39zz-score of a normal value
  32. 40Standard error of the mean
  33. 43Sample mean and variance
  34. 44Median of a data set
  35. 47Independence of two events
  36. 49Expected heads in 50 tosses
  37. 52Bayes with a probability tree

12Expected value, geometric distribution

Each trial succeeds with probability 0.2, independently. What is the expected number of trials up to and including the first success?

For trials repeated until the first success, with success probability p, the expected number of trials is 1/p. Here p = 0.2, so E[X] = 1/0.2 = 5 trials, matching the given rate since 1/5 = 0.2.

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